The Battleground States:
Predictions from the “Other” Experts
Each election cycle, in addition to our own analyses, we compile predictions by other political race experts on the most competitive races in the country. Below, find forecasts** for 2010 Senate elections from Stuart Rothenberg’s Political Report, Congressional Quarterly, the Cook Political Report, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball.
Arkansas
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) (incumbent) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Leans Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
California
Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) (incumbent) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate (Carly Fiorina, frontrunner)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Democratic
Cook Political Report: Leans Democrat
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democrat
Colorado
Michael Bennet (D) (appointed incumbent) or Andrew Romanoff (D) vs. Undecided Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Connecticut
State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Democratic advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Democratic
Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Delaware
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. U.S. Rep. Mike Castle
Rothenberg Political Report: Leans Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Florida
Undecided Democratic Candidate (Kendrick Meek, frontrunner) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Republican advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Illinois
Alexi Giannoulias (D) vs. Mark Kirk (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Indiana
Sen. Evan Bayh (D) vs. former Sen. Dan Coats' (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Democratic advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat
Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: tLikely Democra
Kansas
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Kentucky
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Louisiana
U.S. Rep. Charlie Melancon (D) vs. Sen. David Vitter (R) (incumbent)
Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Republican advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Missouri
Secretary of State Robin Carnahan (D) vs. U.S. Rep. Roy Blunt (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Nevada
Senator Harry Reid (D) (incumbent) – Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Democratic advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
New Hampshire
Rep. Paul Hodes (D) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate (Kelly Ayotte, frontrunner)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
New York (A)
Chuck Schumer (D) (incumbent) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat
Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Democrat
New York (B)
Undecided Democratic Candidate (Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, appointed incumbent, frontrunner) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat
Cook Political Report: Likely Democrat
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Democrat
North Carolina
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Sen. Richard Burr (R) (incumbent)
Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Republican advantage
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
North Dakota
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Gov. John Hoeven (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ohio
Undecided Democratic Candidate (including Lee Fisher vs. Rob Portman (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Pennsylvania
U.S. Rep. Joseph Sestak (D) or Sen. Arlen Specter (D) vs. Pat Toomey (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Democrat
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
South Carolina
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Sen. Jim DeMint (R) (incumbent)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Texas (may be special election)
Undecided Democratic Candidate (John Sharp, frontrunner) vs. Undecided Republican Candidate (Greg Abbot, frontrunner)
Rothenberg Political Report: Not posted
Congressional Quarterly: Not posted
Cook Political Report: Not posted
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Utah
Undecided Democratic Candidate vs. Undecided Republican Candidate (Robert Bennett, incumbent)
Rothenberg Political Report: Currently Safe for Incumbent Party (R)
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
**Last Update: February 4, 2010

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